The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. It is at this point that the historical element as well as the dangers for other actors particularly Australia in the A-P region and the invasion scenario to which Lambie alludes can be introduced. (including Australia). These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged. It is unlikely that the PLA will risk using its ageing strategic bomber force as a long-range offensive asset against Australia. To be sure, the US essentially having been sidelined to that of an equal rather than a superior player in the next decade is already being put into place by China. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills Any attempt from the government of the day to object or renige on what has been done will be met by a Chinese military presence defending the assets it has purchased. Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI. The Sydney Morning Herald, Sydney: Fairfax Media, 20 August, 2014. http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html. In 1913 Western Europe accounted for 14.6 percent (%) of the worlds population. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. America, as a standalone country comprised at this time, 4.6% of the worlds population. And that was when I was a child !! Sheesh if only they had known the brakes were off and the war machine would just keep rolling along. China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. The evidence is Americas slow reaction to commenting on and having a greater involvement in the South China Sea tensions in a more immediate manner which is in direct contrast to its role in the Cold War years. The PLAN is still in the process of mastering out-of-area major battle group deployments. Drop file here. In the meantime China will continue to invade Australia from an economic perspective and this will have a triad attached: to enable China to exert influence on regional strategic partnerships; to establish China and A-P multilateral deals that actively encourage the use of the Renminbi (sometimes called the Yuan), as a source of collateral; and to pro-actively downgrade Australia-US military commitments and partnerships. Nuh still something wrong. But its most chilling claim is around a small airport built in West Australias remote northwest. Included in demanding of good governance from others there has been an acceptance of appalling behaviours from the West per se in favouring those that have served the needs of the West: Singapore and Saudi Arabia being leading examples of this phenomenon. China is a completely different because it has a pax-Sino in mind not unlike the pax-Britannica of the 1800s and it has embarked upon this in earnest from the mid-1990s and it has a centurys long plan. Another Century of War? This raises again the question of alliance obligation, and the subsequent need by Washington to make it very clear to China that an attack on Australia will trigger an allied response. Just remember how many millions of Chines were murdered by the Japanese and the picture becomes clearer. I just wonder why the author thinks that Americas debt would be a protective factor in preventing a conflict with China. The power, wealth and influence of many multi-nationals now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day. *chuckle*. Another important contributing factor, which a possible adversary is likely to take into account, is the combined fighting potential of the ADF. [6] Paul Monk. Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. Try again. Or so it seems. China to INVADE Australia? Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. This is the stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and mineral assets. This is the real war. Moreover, China has continued to exercise its perceived regional rights with relative impunity; and the PRC recently rejected a US proposal to decrease tensions over the disputed territories,[14] and these are further signs the days of absolute control for the US are over. Required fields are marked *, Attachment The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. This in turn has allowed the US to build a global military empire, a cradle-to-grave entitlement system, and a credit-based consumer culture, without having to worry about where to find the funds. In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. Analysts say the threat of China on Australia's doorstop isn't about invasion; it's about much more immediate short-term concerns, such as Beijing improving intelligence gathering and monitoring. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. Sign up to the Daily Star's newsletter. Given the absence of layered air defence capability (AD) in the ADFs order of battle, including long-range AD systems, in theory it can wage long-range missile strikes against our key land targets (defence installations, strategic surveillance communication facilities, possibly large population centres), even though it may risk escalation to an open confrontation with the United States. In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jacqui-lambie-refuses-to-apologise-for-warning-of-chinese-invasion/story-fn59niix-1227038207396. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. Just buy the bastards and their debt out. China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific. The Age, Melbourne: Fairfax Publishing Ltd, 10 June, 2014, 16. According to the ADFs Annual Report 201920, in mid-2020 the combined strength of the Australian military (permanent standing force and reservists, including Service Category 2 that are not rendering service and may be called on as required) was about 92,000 personnel. Reduction of our options, in order to protect a Foreign Interest and our consideration of the other options open to us, is most likely. China's murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. The largest ever Australian warship sunk in battle, HMAS . Enter your email address to subscribe to The AIMN and receive notifications of new posts by email. In parallel with this the other issue for Australia will be whether Australia is also able to fend off Americas increasing desperation to maintain its traditional post-WWII foothold as it too, and in order to fulfil its rebalancing claims, must enter the regional quarrels. Editorial warns Australia may suffer further economic pain. War and the arming for war is the defining rationale behind the (dominant) Western Economies. Dr Strobe Driver reports. [13] James Lee Ray and Ayse Vural. Over time China is seeking to take its rightful place in a globalized world. [11] GALLUPWorld. In case of the PLA, the following needs to be factored in. For Russia, China and India this looks like a win/win. For, In the world of Deputy Opposition Leader Sussan Ley, the Albanese Governments, From African gang violence to persecuted white South African farmers, Peter Dutton. Dear Jaquie, please define what you consider to be statesmanship. Also I have no understanding at all of international politics. So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. [12] This illustrates the US is keen to keep one step ahead of China in the region. All of the its fighting elements are in the process of qualitative force transformations, which would continue to provide the ADFs operators with the technological edge. The Chinese government has set about actively creating a burgeoning middle-class in part to have a greater tax base, to extract people from gruelling, chronic poverty and to in general raise the living standards of citizens. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. But the nation is not in a good place. Historical Statistics. For example, the ADF can ensure command superiority by protecting its own communications, command, control, computers, intelligence and interoperability (C2I4) structures, systems and networks from hostile disruptive operations, while denying an adversary the ability to utilise theirs. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a reminder of how quickly the . These are clear examples of preponderance and to believe China is not on a similar pathway modelled on British and American history is to deliberately ignore the evidence. Finally, the question of possibly fielding long-range interceptors under AIR 6500 Phase 2 as the future component of the Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defence (JIAMD) capability could be brought forward. China has over 1 Billion people !!! they wont need to invade, they will own us. 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This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. 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